I' like to offer my thoughts about what a ceasfire now would really mean.
A ceasfire would mean that Hamas, ( designated by Canada as a terror group), will remain in power in the Gaza Strip, with its top leaders Yihaya Sinwar and Mohammed Deif alive in tunnels, being able to regroup, fight on and keeping tight control of Gaza, with no future elections in sight.
Democracies should not want to create a climate that enables an authoritarian terror group, which is an anathema to democracy, to stay in power makes as this makes no rational sense. It will mean rewarding Hamas for its Oct 7 pogrom, which served as the catalyst for this present war. It will enable Hamas to continue its genocidal plans to carry out more massacres of Israelis, all of whom Hamas considers to be “illegal settlers.” Any UN resolution for a ceasefire ought to insist that Hamas leaders who planned the Oct 7 attacks, Sinwar and Dief, give themselves up, and leave Gaza, for the sake of the future of Gazan children. Hamas ought not to be allowed to participate in future governments in the Gaza strip.
Calling for a ceasefire now will take the wind out of the sails of Gazans who have begun more openly to criticize Hamas, for not building a better future for Gazans, but instead, for bringing death and destruction on its own people, without caring one iota about them. Gazans who are critical of Hamas are afraid of speaking out more forcefully as Hamas members kill them or their families. They want Hamas to be removed from power. And, by the way, behind the scenes Egypt, Jordan, The UAE and Saudi Arabia want Hamas defeated, no matter what they say otherwise.
Calling for a ceasefire now will mean that Israelis will not feel safe enough to return to live in the South of Israel, and the kibbutzim that were destroyed will not be rebuilt, and the State of Israel, which is already very tiny, will de facto become even smaller.
If a ceasefire were to occur now, it will be a victory for an emboldened Iran. Hamas is Iran’s proxy, and Iran will get the message that since Western countries will not stand strong with Israel even in the face of the most heinous terror attacks on her civilians, Iran can arm Hamas and other terror groups in Gaza with impunity.
If a ceasefore were to occur now, Hezbollah, which has been allowed to re-arm and comfortably sit on Israel’s northern border, contrary to the UN resolution in 2006 which prevents it from doing so, will be emboldened further. Since Hezbollah is an Iranian proxy, will get the message that it can plan to invade Israel from the north and capture Israeli cities in the Galilee, similar to what Hamas did in the South.
If a ceasefire were to occur now, Israelis on border communities in the north will get the message that their government can’t protect them , and they will be unwilling to live on the border with Hezbollah right there.
A ceasefire now will be a boost for Hamas in the West Bank which will be seen as being victorious and will ensure that there can be no negotiated peaceful solution in the future. A country such as Canada desires to see a two state solution,but surely Canada understands that this can never happen with Hamas remaining in power.
If a ceasefire were to occur now, Hamas will be able to re-arm through tunnels that go underground from Gaza to Egypt (this is one way Hamas could have gotten all its weaponry since 2007).It will mean that the children of Gaza,(whom Canada is naturally concerned about) will have no future at all as Hamas rule isn’t about building and governing Gaza for the betterment of its people, but is only about murdering Israelis. A ceasefire now will not tackle the problem of the border crossing at Rafah, which arguably needs to have an international force including Israel to prevent the smuggling of arms from Egypt to Gaza. This smuggling has occurred above ground as Hamas has simply bribed Egyptian officials at the border crossing.
A ceasefire now will mean that an emboldened Iran will set its sights on backing Hamas in the West Bank and also potentially increasing its presence in Jordan, with the hope of flooding the West Bank with armaments, to attack Israel from the East. (Already Israel has found a Palestinian armed resistence group in the West Bank that has dug tunnels in Jenin)
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